Der CEO der weltgrößten börsennotierten Business Intelligence Firma sagt, dass er erwartet, dass sich der Preis von Bitcoin jährlich verdreifacht, bis er andere Wertaufbewahrungsmittel demonetisiert.

In einem Interview von Stansberry Research mit Daniela Cambone erklärt Michael Saylor, dass Bitcoin eine monetäre Energie ist, die weiter wachsen und möglicherweise Hunderte von Billionen Dollar an Wert anziehen wird, aufgrund der lockeren Geldpolitik.

„In einer monetären Expansionsumgebung, in der ich die monetäre Inflationsrate um 15% ankurbele, müssen diese 300 Billionen Dollar einen Wertaufbewahrungsort finden, der kein Fiat-Derivat ist. Das bedeutet, dass Bitcoin Pro weiter wachsen wird und seine monetäre Kraft wird weiter wachsen und es wird wahrscheinlich 200% pro Jahr wachsen, bis es Gold, Silber, Staatsschulden, Anleihe-Indizes, Aktien-Indizes, jede Quelle von monetärer Energie demontiert hat, die nur ein Wertaufbewahrungsmittel für jemanden ist, der seine Kaufkraft nicht verlieren will und einen knappen Vermögenswert braucht.

Insofern sehe ich nicht wirklich ein Ende der Entwicklung. Ich denke, es wird weiter nach oben gehen für das nächste Jahrzehnt, wissen Sie, mit einer Rate, die ziemlich angemessen ist, was es getan hat für die letzten zehn Jahre.“

Der Bitcoin-Bulle weist auch darauf hin, dass das Flaggschiff unter den Kryptowährungen Gold in einer Zeit geschlagen hat, in der das Edelmetall hätte glänzen sollen.

„Bitcoin ist in den letzten 12 Monaten um 300% gestiegen und Gold ist um 15% gestiegen. Wenn Sie ein Jahr suchen, in dem Gold hätte glänzen sollen, ein Jahr mit politischer Instabilität in Kombination mit monetärer Expansion, dann ist dies das beste Jahr, an das ich mich in meinem Leben erinnern kann. Vielleicht hatte man in den 70er Jahren etwas, aber in den letzten 20 oder 30 Jahren ist dies das Jahr, in dem Gold hätte performen sollen und das hat es nicht.“

Darüber hinaus hebt Saylor die Eigenschaften hervor, die Bitcoin zu einem besseren Wertaufbewahrungsmittel als Gold und Immobilien machen.

„Nun, warum ist Bitcoin ein besserer Sachwert? Nun, weil es reines Geldvermögen im Cyberspace ist. Es hat kein Gewicht. Daher kann ich es mit Lichtgeschwindigkeit bewegen. Es hat keine Gerichtsbarkeit. Gold muss in einen Tresor in Manhattan oder London und einige Banken, eine Gegenpartei und eine Regierung haben eine gewisse Kontrolle. Ich kann nicht eine Milliarde Dollar Gold mit meinem Kopf in ein paar Sekunden von der einen Seite des Planeten zur anderen Seite des Planeten bewegen…

Wenn Sie 100 Millionen Dollar hätten und ein Grundstück in Kalifornien kaufen würden, hätte der Gouverneur von Kalifornien eine gewisse Macht über den Wert des Grundstücks. Die Regierung kann den Vermögenswert beeinträchtigen… Bei Bitcoin kann die Regierung den Vermögenswert nicht so einfach beeinträchtigen. Die Gesetze der Physik beeinträchtigen den Vermögenswert nicht und die Softwaretechnik steigert den Vermögenswert.“

Mentre il mercato delle criptovalute sta celebrando un nuovo massimo storico per la seconda criptovaluta più grande, Ethereum, Bitcoin ha registrato un piccolo aumento del prezzo del 3% nelle ultime 24 ore poiché viene scambiato leggermente al di sotto di $ 38.000.

Su scala più ampia, BTC è stato scambiato lateralmente negli ultimi 12 giorni dopo aver raggiunto il suo livello di ATH a $ 42.000 l’8 gennaio 2020

Da lì, Bitcoin ha iniziato a consolidarsi in quanto forma un gigantesco modello triangolare simmetrico, come si può vedere nel seguente grafico a 4 ore. Durante il fine settimana, Bitcoin è sceso dalla resistenza a $ 37.940 – $ 38K (ribassista a breve termine .618 Fib) e si è diretto verso il supporto a $ 34.800 (.5 Fib Retracement), l’angolo ascendente inferiore del triangolo.

Ieri, BTC ha nuovamente testato quella linea di supporto e dopo essere uscito da un canale in aumento a breve termine durante il periodo in cui scriviamo, è tornato verso $ 38K e il limite superiore del triangolo simmetrico, a circa $ 38,300.

Nel caso in cui Bitcoin rompa il triangolo verso il lato rialzista, possiamo sicuramente aspettarci un nuovo test di $ 40.000, seguito dai livelli di ATH.

Supporto dei prezzi BTC e livelli di resistenza da tenere d’occhio

Livelli di supporto chiave: $ 37.000, $ 36.000, $ 34.800, $ 34.000, $ 33.135.

Livelli di resistenza chiave: $ 37.940 – $ 39.000, $ 38.300, $ 30.000, $ 39.720, $ 40.000.

Il primo livello di resistenza è compreso tra $ 37.940 (ribassista .618 Fib Retracement) e $ 38.000. Questo è seguito da vicino dalla resistenza al limite superiore del triangolo a $ 38.300.

I prossimi obiettivi sarebbero $ 39.000, $ 39.720 (ritracciamento ribassista .786 Fib), $ 40.000 e $ 40.775 (ritracciamento ribassista .886 Fib).

Dall’altro lato, il primo livello di supporto si trova a $ 37.000. Questo è seguito da $ 36.000 (.236 Fib Retracement), $ 34.800 (.5 Fib Retracement e il limite inferiore del triangolo). Un ulteriore supporto si trova a $ 34.000, seguito da $ 33.130 (a breve termine .618 Fib) e $ 32.500 (.382 Fib).

L’RSI giornaliero è rimbalzato dalla linea mediana, a favore dei rialzisti.

• Bitcoin sta seguendo una linea di supporto ascendente a breve e medio termine.
• C’è resistenza a 39.463 dollari e supporto a 37.143 dollari.
• BTC sta operando all’interno di un canale ascendente parallelo a breve termine.

Bitcoin (BTC) ha raggiunto un massimo di 40.112 dollari il 14 gennaio, ma è stato respinto subito dopo e da allora è in calo.

Mentre il trend a lungo termine è probabilmente ribassista, il trend a breve termine rimane rialzista fintanto che il Bitcoin è scambiato sopra i 36.717 dollari.

La divergenza nascosta causa la pompa Bitcoin

BTC si è mossa verso l’alto da quando ha raggiunto il minimo locale di 30.402 dollari l’11 gennaio. Ha creato un lungo stoppino inferiore appena sopra il livello di ritracciamento delle fibre 0,382 del più recente movimento verso l’alto.

BTC è salita a 40.112 dollari il 14 gennaio prima di essere respinta. Gli indicatori tecnici nell’arco di tempo giornaliero sono ribassisti. Mentre la RSI ha generato una significativa divergenza rialzista nascosta, un aumento dei prezzi si è già verificato come risultato.

Il MACD si sta muovendo verso il basso e l’oscillatore stocastico ha fatto una croce ribassista. Questi sono entrambi segnali forti che il trend è ribassista.

Movimento futuro

Il grafico a sei ore mostra che la BTC è stata respinta al livello di ritracciamento della fibra 0,786, che in precedenza fungeva da supporto. Pertanto, l’area di 39.463 dollari è ora confermata come resistenza.

Nonostante il rifiuto, gli indicatori tecnici sono ancora rialzisti e c’è una linea di supporto ascendente attualmente a 34.000 dollari. Ciò significa che è possibile che il trend a breve termine sia ancora rialzista.

Il grafico a due ore mostra che la BTC sta seguendo un’altra linea di supporto ascendente a più breve termine. Questa linea è attualmente appena al di sotto dell’area di supporto di 37.143 dollari, che è il ritracciamento di 0,382 Fib del più recente movimento ascendente.

Finché BTC fa trading al di sopra di questa area di supporto/linea, il trend a breve termine è ancora considerato rialzista.

Conteggio delle onde BTC

Il conteggio delle onde mostra che la BTC ha probabilmente completato una struttura correttiva A-B-C. Ieri, BTC è stata respinta dalla linea di resistenza di un canale ascendente parallelo, il che suggerisce che il movimento è correttivo.

Mentre la correzione A-B-C sembra completata, è ancora possibile che l’onda 5 si estenda.

Pertanto, fino a quando BTC non scende al di sotto della sottoonda 4 bassa di 36.717 dollari (indicata con la linea rossa), è possibile che il movimento verso l’alto continui. Potrebbe potenzialmente raggiungere un massimo di 42.603, che darebbe alle onde A:C un rapporto di 1:1,61.

Anche se è possibile che il trend della BTC sia nell’onda 4, non si adatta al conteggio a lungo termine. Inoltre, il livello di invalidazione sarebbe lo stesso. Quindi, per il momento, non sembra valga la pena di tracciare questo conteggio.

Conclusione

Mentre la Bitcoin sembra essere vicina alla cima del suo movimento correttivo, il trend a breve termine è considerato rialzista fintanto che la BTC è scambiata al di sopra di $36.717.

Ripple faces a potential disaster with XRP. Since the SEC announced that it would take action against Ripple, many of the company’s partners have dropped out, distanced themselves from XRP and partially withdrawn from the stock exchanges.

The SEC has brought proceedings against Profit Revolution and its initiators, Chris Larsen and Brad Garlinghouse, of selling an unregistered security and manipulating the market. This is no less than $ 1.3 billion.

Ripple and XRP are at the fore

The official SEC announcement has spread like wildfire in the community. As a result, the XRP price collapsed extremely and there is no end in sight. Since the peak at the end of November, the ripple price has plummeted by more than 70%. In the Bitcoin exchange pair even by more than 80%.

The sharp slump was mainly associated with various exchanges that have removed XRP from the program for certain regions or entirely. Yesterday, the largest American exchange – Coinbase – also announced that it would stop trading XRP for the time being . As a result, the ripple price collapsed even further.

It is currently not yet clear what will happen to Ripple and the two initiators. It may well be that a large fine has to be paid but XRP is not classified as a security.

On the other hand, there is still the risk that XRP will be classified as a security after all. Such a decision would not only be dramatic for the further price development, but also for Ripple itself. Because the company still lives from the regular sales of its own XRP. This would turn the SEC Ripple off the money.

Ripple about to end?

The XRP Ledger runs relatively independently of Ripple itself, but without the company behind it, with the various software solutions where XRP is used, the XRP Ledger will die in the long term or at least become more and more irrelevant.

Without Ripple and all the partners there is no need for a bridge currency that is highly volatile, depends on the Bitcoin rate, is largely in the hands of a company and was created at the push of a button. We already have more than enough of such cryptocurrencies and none of them represent a revolution or the like.

The dream of a global means of payment or a bridge currency for international payments is currently off the table. There is little hope that the tide will turn for Ripple anytime soon.

In addition, one of Ripple’s most important partners – MoneyGram – has distanced itself from Ripple and XRP .

At the moment one can only wait and warn all investors. There is currently little hope of a swift recovery. The process could take weeks or months and drive the price down further and further.

As always, we will keep you up to date and inform you immediately as soon as there is anything new in relation to the process.

At the end of the week, we summarize what we’ve been writing about these past seven days and gather everything relevant to fans of cryptocurrencies and decentralized technologies. This week bitcoin set a new all-time high at above $28,000, the SEC accused Ripple of unregistered sales of $1.3 billion worth of securities, and personal data of Ledger hardware wallet users was leaked online.

Opinions

Pantera Capital CEO Dan Morehead said on CNBC that bitcoin’s limited supply acts as a key driver of the cryptocurrency’s rise in value.

According to Anatoly Aksakov, head of the State Duma Committee on Financial Market, a surge of cryptocurrency business activity is expected in Russia. This will happen already next year after the entry into force of the law on the so-called digital assets.

Last fall, Chairman of the Board of Directors of Alfa-Bank Petr Aven said that bitcoin and other digital currencies have no future. A year later, the head of Alfa Bank again accused the cryptocurrency of lack of security and confirmed his critical attitude towards this instrument.

According to Arkady Trachuk, head of Goznak, the digital ruble will be an excellent alternative to cash.

Many Russian experts are extremely skeptical about long-term prospects of bitcoin. For example, economists Vitaly Kalugin and Maxim Krivlevich believe that bitcoin’s collapse is inevitable because this instrument has no future.

While billionaire Mike Novogratz expects the new White House administration to be bitcoin-friendly, economist Nouriel Roubini, on the other hand, believes that Joe Biden will deal a blow to the cryptosphere.

Estimates

According to The Block, stackablecoin onchain transactions will surpass the $1 trillion mark in 2020. Etherium remains the most popular blockchain for stackablecoin and accounts for 83.5% of total volumes. It is followed by TRON and Omni with shares of about 14.5% and 2.1%, respectively.

According to the Santiment team, large holders of XRP (or so-called „whales“) are selling their tokens en masse.

MicroStrategy reported buying 29,646 bitcoins for about $650 million, bringing the company’s 2020 bitcoin investment to more than $1 billion.

Strategists at JPMorgan said the chances of a bitcoin correction would increase if Grayscale’s investment firm’s bitcoin secret trusts decline. Grayscale continues to ramp up its investments in digital currencies. The company has reached $16.4 billion in funds under management.

Bitcoin took the first place in the rating of gifts that Russian citizens would like to get for the New Year holidays. This conclusion was made by analysts of the project Hi-Tech Mail.ru, polling Internet users.

Swiss crypto-bank SEBA has completed its Series B financing round. The bank raised 20 million Swiss francs (~$22.5 million). The bank did not disclose investor names, but Dudler said that „all existing major shareholders and new shareholders“ from Switzerland, Europe and Asia participated in the round.

Anthony Scaramucci’s investment firm SkyBridge Capital filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Dec. 21 to create the first $25 million bitcoin fund. The fund, called SkyBridge Bitcoin Fund L.P., will be open only to investors who are willing to invest at least $50,000.

Exchanges

Cryptocurrency exchange Bitstamp has restricted trading and deposits of XRP for all U.S. customers. Jump Trading and Galaxy Digital stopped trading XRP after the lawsuit was filed, and Bitwise, a crypto-asset management company, excluded the token from its index fund. Crypto exchanges OSL, CrossTower and Beaxy also stopped trading XRP.

The EXMO exchange reported a hack. As a result of the hack, $10.5 million in cryptocurrency was withdrawn from the hot wallets, which is about 5% of the exchange’s total assets. EXMO management claims that some of the cryptocurrency cannot be recovered because the criminals withdrew funds through Poloniex.

The Indian cryptocurrency exchange on Dec. 21 reported raising $13.9 million from Coinbase and Polychain. This is CoinDCX’s third funding round in 2020, raising a total of $19.4 million.

U.S. cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase named the first recipients of Crypto Community Fund grants.

Cryptocurrency exchange Binance added support for Segregated Witness (SegWit) for bitcoin deposits. Binance also announced the closure of the Binance Korea division for South Korean users.

Mining

U.S. mining company Riot Blockchain signed another contract with Bitmain to buy 15,000 miners. Riot Blockchain expects the new purchase to boost its overall bitcoin hash rate by 65%.

Following the ban on crypto mining in Abkhazia, local law enforcement agencies periodically report on the elimination of yet another underground mining farm. Over the past week 12 illegal farms were discovered and liquidated. A total of 3,783 pieces of equipment were stopped by law enforcers.

After months of power struggles, the co-founders of Chinese Bitmain mining company Jihan Wu and Micri Zhang reached an agreement. As part of the agreement, Jihan Wu will leave the company and receive $600 million in compensation, while Zhang will control the production of Antminer miners. Wu will also gain control of the BTC.com mining pool and Bitmain’s overseas mining centers. Zhang will retain the Antpool mining pool and Bitmain mining centers in China.

Mining pool F2Pool published a review of a new ASIC miner for the Ethash algorithm called Phoenix, developed by Chinese company Linzhi.

Regulation

The Bank of Russia does not plan to use the digital ruble in lending to individuals and legal entities. In addition, the regulator excludes the use of token in deposit products. Also, the Central Bank allowed the use of cryptoruble in smart contracts.

The digital ruble can be used internationally, primarily in the post-Soviet space. Uzbekistan and Tajikistan, for example, could use the innovative tool for cross-border movement of funds, said RANEPA expert Yegor Ivankov.

The CEO of Celsius recognises that this is a very complicated issue, but he says it is crucial for the future of ETH

Ethereum 2.0 recently launched its Beacon Chain and completed the highly anticipated Phase 0, which has been announced for years. Although he has expressed confidence in Eth2, Celsius CEO and founder Alex Mashinsky believes the network could lose its leading role if it fails to scale quickly and significantly.

When we asked Mashinsky what he felt was the next hurdle that Eth2 would face, he responded:

„Ethereum must demonstrate that it can scale its transactions at least 100 times without compromising security or decentralisation. If he fails to do this, Cardano and Polkadot will take over“.

On Thursday, the Ethereum network processed around 13 transactions per second, according to Blockchair data: an increase of 100 times over now would be equivalent to around 1,300 transactions per second.

Ethereum has so far been the main blockchain for the development of decentralised applications: in addition, this year’s boom in decentralised finance took place mainly on Ethereum. This surge in activity has led to high traffic on the network, which has caused the cost of commissions to soar: a scalability problem that had also occurred on previous occasions.

With the transition of Ethereum 2.0 to a Proof-of-Stake Bitcoin Method consensus algorithm, we should see progress in terms of scalability. The co-founder of the protocol, Vitalik Buterin, stated earlier that in his opinion the network could process as many as 100,000 transactions per second.

However, the network update faced months of delays before reaching Phase 0 earlier this week. The founder of MyEtherWallet said that the next phases of Eth2 will take years to complete. Mashinsky did not give an accurate estimate of the time needed, but expressed his confidence in updating the network as a whole:

„I’m a big fan of ETH 2.0, although it will take longer than expected to scale and fix all the bugs.

Ethereum’s native token, Ether (ETH), is exchanged for around $590 at the time of publication of this article. Phase 0 required interested parties to deposit at least 32 ETHs each, for a total of 524,288 ETHs, in a smart contract for the launch of the Beacon Chain. As these ETHs have to remain locked in until Phase 2 is launched, which could be implemented in several years‘ time, doubts naturally arise as to how this will affect the price of ETHs.

For his part, Mashinsky believes that the value of Ether will grow:

„As more and more Ether are deposited on ETH 2.0 or used on different DeFi and CeFi platforms, scarcity combined with the need to join these platforms will push its price higher. Almost all decentralised exchanges work in ETH: this is a huge advantage for Ethereum“.
The completion of Phase 0 of Eth2 took place in the context of a fast growing crypto market: recently Bitcoin (BTC) reached and exceeded its all-time high.

Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)